Análisis Genoa vs Roma
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
28.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.95
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
28.8%
Empate
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
42.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.24
Goles esperados
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 may. 1983 |
PIS
0 - 0
GEN
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 1983 |
GEN
0 - 0
NAP
45%
30%
26%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 1983 |
SAM
2 - 2
GEN
50%
28%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 mar. 1983 |
AVE
2 - 0
GEN
54%
27%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 mar. 1983 |
GEN
2 - 3
INT
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 may. 1983 |
ROM
2 - 0
AVE
77%
16%
8%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 1983 |
INT
0 - 0
ROM
52%
25%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 1983 |
ROM
5 - 3
AVE
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 1983 |
ROM
2 - 0
FCC
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 1983 |
AVE
0 - 1
ROM
28%
26%
46%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |