Análisis SD Gernika vs Tolosa CF
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.51
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.1%
Empate
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
21.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-22%
-24%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 1982 |
CDT
1 - 0
GER
61%
23%
16%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 may. 1982 |
GER
0 - 0
RUN
43%
27%
31%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 may. 1982 |
LEM
3 - 0
GER
61%
23%
16%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 abr. 1982 |
GER
3 - 0
LON
61%
23%
16%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 abr. 1982 |
ARE
1 - 3
GER
64%
22%
14%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Tolosa CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 1982 |
TOL
0 - 0
AUR
41%
29%
30%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 may. 1982 |
SDA
1 - 0
TOL
67%
20%
13%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 may. 1982 |
TOL
1 - 0
AFT
57%
25%
19%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 1982 |
CDG
0 - 2
TOL
64%
21%
15%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 abr. 1982 |
TOL
4 - 2
BAS
35%
28%
37%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |