Análisis Girona vs Alcoyano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.95
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
15%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 may. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 4
GIR
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2012 |
GIR
0 - 0
ALC
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2012 |
SAB
2 - 3
GIR
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2012 |
GIR
1 - 1
FCB
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 abr. 2012 |
HER
4 - 2
GIR
72%
18%
10%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
Partidos
Alcoyano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 may. 2012 |
ALC
3 - 3
CCF
20%
27%
53%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2012 |
GIM
2 - 0
ALC
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 abr. 2012 |
REC
1 - 3
ALC
71%
20%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +2 |
| 14 abr. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 1
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 abr. 2012 |
ALC
2 - 1
ALC
74%
18%
8%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |