Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 5-4
Análisis Gran Peña vs Arosa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
56.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.7%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.03
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 sep. 1982 |
VIV
2 - 2
GRA
61%
23%
17%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 1982 |
GRA
3 - 1
CLU
70%
19%
10%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 may. 1982 |
GRA
1 - 0
CLU
69%
20%
11%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 may. 1982 |
FLA
2 - 2
GRA
48%
27%
25%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 may. 1982 |
GRA
2 - 2
ARE
71%
19%
10%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 sep. 1982 |
FLA
0 - 1
ARO
47%
27%
26%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 1982 |
ARO
0 - 0
LUG
44%
27%
29%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 may. 1982 |
LUG
1 - 1
ARO
73%
18%
9%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 may. 1982 |
ARO
0 - 2
CDO
43%
26%
31%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 may. 1982 |
FIS
1 - 1
ARO
40%
28%
32%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |