Análisis Gran Peña vs Celta Fortuna
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.28
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.4%
Empate
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-47%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 nov. 1965 |
ATO
8 - 0
GRA
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 1965 |
GRA
2 - 1
ALO
67%
18%
15%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 oct. 1965 |
BOU
1 - 1
GRA
68%
18%
14%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 1965 |
GRA
3 - 2
LEM
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 1965 |
COM
1 - 0
GRA
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
Partidos
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 nov. 1965 |
CEL
1 - 1
DEP
15%
25%
59%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 1965 |
CHO
1 - 1
CEL
71%
17%
13%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 1965 |
CEL
2 - 3
COX
60%
21%
19%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 oct. 1965 |
CEL
2 - 2
LUG
33%
27%
40%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 oct. 1965 |
ATO
2 - 1
CEL
74%
15%
10%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |