Análisis Gran Peña vs Choco
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.8%
Empate
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.27
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-47%
-34%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 oct. 1964 |
ALO
0 - 2
GRA
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 1964 |
GRA
5 - 1
COX
70%
17%
13%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 oct. 1964 |
RCF
1 - 0
GRA
96%
4%
1%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 1964 |
GRA
1 - 2
DEP
23%
25%
52%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 sep. 1964 |
ATO
6 - 1
GRA
78%
14%
9%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 oct. 1964 |
CHO
1 - 0
LUG
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 1964 |
LEM
1 - 1
CHO
53%
23%
25%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 1964 |
CHO
3 - 1
ARO
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 1964 |
ASP
3 - 1
CHO
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 1964 |
CHO
1 - 2
ACF
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |