Análisis Gran Peña vs Choco
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.57
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.1%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.14
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-45%
-48%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 sep. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 2
GRA
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2010 |
GRA
2 - 0
ARO
32%
24%
44%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 sep. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 1
UDA
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 2010 |
ATO
0 - 2
GRA
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 may. 2010 |
PON
1 - 4
GRA
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 sep. 2010 |
CHO
0 - 1
ATO
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2010 |
PON
1 - 1
CHO
45%
26%
30%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 2010 |
CHO
1 - 1
CEL
53%
25%
22%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 2010 |
CRU
0 - 0
CHO
33%
26%
40%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 may. 2010 |
ARO
2 - 1
CHO
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |