Análisis Gran Peña vs CD Lugo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
44.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.63
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.34
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-52%
-22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 mar. 1961 |
ORD
2 - 3
GRA
58%
20%
22%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 1961 |
GRA
0 - 2
MAR
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 mar. 1961 |
ARO
3 - 2
GRA
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 mar. 1961 |
GRA
1 - 3
ACF
52%
22%
25%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 feb. 1961 |
CEL
3 - 2
GRA
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 mar. 1961 |
LUG
4 - 1
FLA
89%
8%
3%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 1961 |
LEM
3 - 1
LUG
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 mar. 1961 |
SAN
3 - 1
LUG
36%
26%
39%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -3 |
| 05 mar. 1961 |
LUG
0 - 0
ORD
91%
7%
2%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 1961 |
MAR
1 - 2
LUG
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |