Análisis Gran Peña vs Sporting Atlético
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
46.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.31
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25%
28.3%
Empate
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
24.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
9.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-48%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 may. 1975 |
GRA
1 - 3
SSC
48%
27%
25%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 may. 1975 |
GIM
2 - 1
GRA
69%
21%
11%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 may. 1975 |
GRA
9 - 0
AST
78%
15%
8%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 may. 1975 |
ENS
3 - 0
GRA
79%
15%
5%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 may. 1975 |
GRA
1 - 1
LUG
48%
28%
24%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 jun. 1976 |
CDG
0 - 1
SPB
53%
27%
20%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 may. 1976 |
SPB
0 - 1
BAR
33%
29%
38%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 may. 1976 |
ATH
6 - 2
SPB
71%
19%
10%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 may. 1976 |
SPB
0 - 0
PON
40%
29%
31%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 may. 1976 |
LEM
0 - 1
SPB
35%
32%
33%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |