Análisis Gran Peña vs Sporting Celanova
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
89.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.65
Goles esperados
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.1%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.7%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
7.2%
Empate
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.2%
3.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.67
Goles esperados
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-36%
+18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 nov. 1977 |
NOI
0 - 0
GRA
36%
24%
40%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 nov. 1977 |
GRA
0 - 2
SAN
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 nov. 1977 |
VDB
2 - 4
GRA
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 1977 |
GRA
0 - 2
SIE
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 oct. 1977 |
VAL
1 - 1
GRA
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Sporting Celanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 nov. 1977 |
SPO
0 - 1
GIN
35%
25%
40%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 nov. 1977 |
CEL
3 - 0
SPO
70%
17%
12%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 nov. 1977 |
SPO
1 - 1
LUG
33%
24%
43%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 oct. 1977 |
ARO
1 - 0
SPO
83%
12%
6%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 1977 |
SPO
2 - 1
NAV
37%
24%
39%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |