Análisis Granada vs Real Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
72.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
18.9%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
8.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.53
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-14%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 feb. 1986 |
TAL
3 - 1
GRA
36%
31%
33%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 1986 |
GRA
2 - 0
AGD
63%
23%
14%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 1986 |
LEV
1 - 1
GRA
49%
28%
23%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 1986 |
GRA
3 - 0
BET
72%
19%
9%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 ene. 1986 |
BAL
2 - 2
GRA
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 feb. 1986 |
RJA
1 - 1
ADP
57%
26%
17%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 1986 |
PLA
2 - 0
RJA
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 ene. 1986 |
RJA
0 - 1
LIN
57%
26%
18%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 ene. 1986 |
XER
2 - 0
RJA
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 ene. 1986 |
RJA
0 - 2
ALC
66%
22%
12%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |