Análisis Grêmio vs Portuguesa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
61.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.77
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 sep. 2013 |
GOI
2 - 0
GRE
34%
27%
40%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
PPE
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 ago. 2013 |
FLA
0 - 1
GRE
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 ago. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
GRE
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 sep. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
PPE
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 2013 |
POR
4 - 2
BAH
51%
27%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 1
POR
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 ago. 2013 |
POR
1 - 3
BOT
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 ago. 2013 |
COT
1 - 1
POR
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |