Análisis Grêmio vs ABC
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
81.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.69
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.8%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
6.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.61
Goles esperados
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 mar. 1999 |
ABC
1 - 2
GRE
23%
24%
53%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 1998 |
GRE
4 - 2
POR
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 nov. 1998 |
VAS
2 - 1
GRE
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 nov. 1998 |
GUA
1 - 3
GRE
47%
25%
29%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 oct. 1998 |
GRE
2 - 1
AME
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 mar. 1999 |
ABC
1 - 2
GRE
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 1998 |
ABC
1 - 4
FLU
36%
25%
39%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 feb. 1996 |
ABC
0 - 4
COR
24%
25%
52%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 mar. 1995 |
PAL
1 - 0
ABC
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 feb. 1995 |
ABC
1 - 2
PAL
23%
24%
53%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |