Análisis Grêmio vs Criciúma
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.84
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 sep. 2004 |
COT
2 - 1
GRE
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 1
SAO
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 1
SCI
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 sep. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 0
GRE
56%
25%
20%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 sep. 2004 |
SCI
2 - 0
GRE
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 sep. 2004 |
CRI
1 - 1
GUA
53%
25%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 0
CRI
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 2004 |
CRI
0 - 2
FLU
39%
24%
36%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 sep. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 0
CRI
52%
24%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2004 |
GOI
2 - 1
CRI
66%
19%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |