Análisis Grêmio vs Defensor Sporting
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
72%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.32
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.2%
Empate
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 sep. 1982 |
GRE
3 - 1
PEÑ
60%
26%
14%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 1982 |
GRE
0 - 0
SAO
50%
27%
23%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 ago. 1982 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
GRE
39%
28%
32%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 ago. 1982 |
DEF
0 - 0
GRE
26%
26%
48%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 ago. 1982 |
SAO
2 - 2
GRE
52%
25%
22%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 sep. 1982 |
SAO
2 - 1
DEF
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 1982 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
DEF
81%
12%
7%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 ago. 1982 |
DEF
0 - 0
GRE
26%
26%
48%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 1982 |
DEF
1 - 3
SAO
2%
24%
73%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 ago. 1982 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
DEF
78%
13%
8%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |