Análisis Grêmio vs Fluminense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.64
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.5%
Empate
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 oct. 1990 |
CRZ
4 - 0
GRE
42%
30%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 1990 |
BAH
1 - 2
GRE
42%
30%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 1990 |
GRE
2 - 0
GOI
51%
28%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 1990 |
SAN
0 - 0
GRE
35%
31%
34%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 1990 |
GRE
1 - 1
VAS
54%
27%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 oct. 1990 |
FLU
0 - 0
NAU
50%
27%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 1990 |
GOI
3 - 0
FLU
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 1990 |
FLU
1 - 4
BAH
50%
29%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 sep. 1990 |
FLU
1 - 1
BRA
55%
26%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 1990 |
FLU
0 - 1
BOT
53%
27%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |