Análisis Grêmio vs Fluminense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.7
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 mar. 1991 |
SAO
2 - 0
GRE
53%
26%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 1991 |
GRE
0 - 0
FLA
45%
28%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 1991 |
FLU
0 - 1
GRE
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 mar. 1991 |
VIT
1 - 0
GRE
43%
28%
29%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 mar. 1991 |
GRE
1 - 1
POR
46%
28%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 mar. 1991 |
SCI
2 - 1
FLU
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 1991 |
FLU
0 - 0
BRA
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 mar. 1991 |
FLU
0 - 1
GRE
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 1991 |
NAU
0 - 1
FLU
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 1991 |
FLU
2 - 0
BAH
51%
28%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |