Análisis Grêmio vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.05
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.6%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 oct. 1973 |
DES
0 - 1
GRE
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 1973 |
RIO
1 - 1
GRE
27%
25%
48%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 1973 |
GRE
3 - 0
REM
64%
21%
16%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 oct. 1973 |
ATP
1 - 1
GRE
50%
24%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 oct. 1973 |
GRE
1 - 0
VAS
53%
25%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 oct. 1973 |
NAU
3 - 2
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 1973 |
NAU
0 - 0
OLA
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 1973 |
RIO
1 - 0
NAU
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 1973 |
GOI
1 - 0
NAU
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 oct. 1973 |
FLA
4 - 1
NAU
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |