Análisis Grêmio vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.84
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
+15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 jun. 1974 |
GRE
2 - 2
BOT
48%
30%
23%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 jun. 1974 |
BAH
0 - 1
GRE
34%
33%
33%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 jun. 1974 |
VIT
1 - 0
GRE
39%
27%
35%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 jun. 1974 |
GRE
1 - 0
VAS
51%
30%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 may. 1974 |
DES
0 - 5
GRE
25%
27%
49%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 jun. 1974 |
NAU
3 - 1
POR
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 jun. 1974 |
GOI
0 - 0
NAU
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 jun. 1974 |
NAU
0 - 1
PAL
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 jun. 1974 |
CEB
0 - 2
NAU
48%
26%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 may. 1974 |
AMF
0 - 3
NAU
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |