Análisis Grêmio vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.5%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.01
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
+22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 nov. 1975 |
CRZ
3 - 1
GRE
52%
27%
21%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 nov. 1975 |
GRE
0 - 1
AME
53%
27%
21%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 nov. 1975 |
COR
3 - 2
GRE
44%
30%
26%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 1975 |
GRE
1 - 1
PAL
44%
31%
25%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 1975 |
SET
1 - 2
GRE
33%
28%
39%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 nov. 1975 |
NAU
3 - 0
CEB
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 nov. 1975 |
NAU
4 - 1
DES
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 nov. 1975 |
BAH
1 - 1
NAU
42%
30%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 1975 |
NAU
2 - 0
AME
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 1975 |
CSA
0 - 2
NAU
32%
30%
38%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |