Análisis Grêmio vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.98
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.3%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
12.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.71
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
+24%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 dic. 1983 |
GRE
2 - 1
HSV
41%
24%
34%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 jul. 1983 |
GRE
2 - 1
PEÑ
51%
28%
22%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 jul. 1983 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
GRE
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 jul. 1983 |
EST
3 - 3
GRE
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 jul. 1983 |
GRE
2 - 1
AME
88%
7%
4%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 may. 1983 |
NAU
0 - 0
SAN
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 may. 1983 |
SAN
2 - 1
NAU
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 may. 1983 |
NAU
4 - 1
SPO
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 may. 1983 |
SPO
0 - 0
NAU
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 1983 |
NAU
0 - 1
SAN
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |