Análisis Grêmio vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.96
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.9%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 may. 1984 |
NAU
2 - 3
GRE
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 1984 |
GRE
2 - 0
GOI
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 1984 |
ATP
1 - 4
GRE
39%
28%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 abr. 1984 |
COR
0 - 0
GRE
44%
26%
29%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 1984 |
GRE
1 - 1
ATP
65%
22%
14%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 may. 1984 |
NAU
2 - 3
GRE
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 1984 |
NAU
2 - 1
FLA
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 abr. 1984 |
AME
1 - 1
NAU
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 1984 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 1984 |
NAU
3 - 1
AME
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |