Análisis Grêmio vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.03
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 jul. 1984 |
IND
0 - 0
GRE
47%
27%
26%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 jul. 1984 |
GRE
0 - 1
IND
61%
23%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 jul. 1984 |
GRE
0 - 0
FLA
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 jul. 1984 |
GRE
6 - 1
ULA
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 jul. 1984 |
FLA
3 - 1
GRE
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 may. 1984 |
GRE
3 - 1
NAU
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 may. 1984 |
NAU
2 - 3
GRE
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 1984 |
NAU
2 - 1
FLA
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 abr. 1984 |
AME
1 - 1
NAU
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 1984 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |