Análisis Grêmio vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.81
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
+18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 oct. 2005 |
GRE
0 - 2
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2005 |
AVA
1 - 3
GRE
28%
28%
45%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 oct. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 0
GRE
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 oct. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 0
AVA
66%
21%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 oct. 2005 |
MAR
4 - 3
NAU
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 2005 |
NAU
1 - 0
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2005 |
POR
1 - 2
NAU
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 sep. 2005 |
GUA
1 - 4
NAU
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 sep. 2005 |
NAU
3 - 0
MAR
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |