Análisis Grêmio vs Palmeiras
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
57.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.8
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 nov. 2011 |
ATM
2 - 0
GRE
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 2011 |
GRE
4 - 2
FLA
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 oct. 2011 |
AMF
2 - 2
GRE
25%
26%
49%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
GRE
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 oct. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 3
FFL
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 nov. 2011 |
PAL
0 - 2
COT
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 2011 |
ATM
2 - 1
PAL
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 oct. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 2
FFL
51%
26%
24%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 2
FLU
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 1
PAL
50%
26%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |