Análisis Grêmio vs U. Católica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
64.9%
Probabilidad gana
2.17
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.5%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 sep. 2020 |
ATM
3 - 1
GRE
44%
26%
30%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2020 |
SCI
0 - 1
GRE
47%
27%
27%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 1
PAL
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2020 |
UCO
2 - 0
GRE
35%
28%
38%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 2020 |
GRE
1 - 1
FOR
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 sep. 2020 |
EVE
2 - 2
UCO
17%
24%
59%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2020 |
AME
1 - 1
UCO
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2020 |
UCO
2 - 0
GRE
35%
28%
38%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 sep. 2020 |
UCO
3 - 0
ACS
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2020 |
HUA
1 - 3
UCO
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |