Análisis Grêmio vs Vila Nova
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.04
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.3%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 ago. 2005 |
POR
1 - 2
GRE
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 ago. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 0
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 ago. 2005 |
BAH
1 - 1
GRE
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 jul. 2005 |
GRE
4 - 0
REC
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 jul. 2005 |
UNI
1 - 1
GRE
27%
28%
46%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ago. 2005 |
VIL
4 - 1
CRI
43%
25%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 ago. 2005 |
GUA
4 - 0
VIL
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 ago. 2005 |
VIL
3 - 1
SAN
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 jul. 2005 |
VIL
1 - 0
SAN
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 jul. 2005 |
POR
0 - 1
VIL
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |