Análisis Guadamur vs Polan
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
84.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.01
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.4%
Empate
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
4.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.61
Goles esperados
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-87%
+30%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Guadamur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 2021 |
GUA
5 - 0
PTO
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2021 |
RCC
0 - 1
GUA
27%
20%
53%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 2
GUA
37%
22%
41%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 ene. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 4
ESC
76%
15%
10%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 ene. 2021 |
DHE
0 - 3
GUA
6%
11%
83%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Polan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 feb. 2021 |
CAM
2 - 0
POL
56%
21%
23%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2021 |
POL
0 - 1
NAM
32%
22%
47%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2021 |
SGA
4 - 0
POL
79%
13%
9%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 dic. 2020 |
POL
3 - 0
DHE
49%
21%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 dic. 2020 |
GER
4 - 2
POL
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |