Análisis Guaraní vs Bahía
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
57.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.69
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18.3%
Probabilidad gana
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 mar. 1978 |
GUA
1 - 3
VAS
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 1977 |
GRE
2 - 0
GUA
57%
26%
17%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 dic. 1977 |
GUA
6 - 0
AME
81%
12%
7%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 dic. 1977 |
SAN
1 - 0
GUA
60%
22%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 dic. 1977 |
GUA
0 - 1
ATM
38%
26%
35%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 mar. 1978 |
BAH
0 - 0
PPE
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 1978 |
ATM
4 - 0
BAH
69%
20%
11%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 1978 |
BAH
2 - 0
FAS
70%
20%
9%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 1978 |
ARN
0 - 0
BAH
35%
25%
40%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 1978 |
BAH
2 - 2
CRZ
32%
30%
38%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |