Análisis Guaraní vs Ituano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
60%
Probabilidad gana
1.96
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.5%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-17%
-23%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ene. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 1
JUV
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 1
GUA
50%
26%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 ene. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 2
VIT
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2021 |
CUI
4 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 ene. 2021 |
CRB
2 - 0
GUA
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 ene. 2021 |
ITU
0 - 1
VIL
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 ene. 2021 |
BRU
4 - 2
ITU
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 ene. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
ITU
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 dic. 2020 |
ITU
1 - 2
SAN
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 dic. 2020 |
ITU
1 - 1
BRU
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |