Análisis Guaraní vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
33.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.28
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.8%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.42
Goles esperados
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 jun. 2008 |
LQE
1 - 3
GUA
51%
25%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 jun. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 0
OLI
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 jun. 2008 |
LIB
3 - 1
GUA
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 jun. 2008 |
AME
1 - 1
GUA
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 may. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 0
PET
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 jun. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 4
LIB
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 jun. 2008 |
PET
1 - 4
NAC
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 jun. 2008 |
NAC
0 - 3
CCP
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 may. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 2
NAC
32%
26%
43%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 may. 2008 |
NAC
3 - 1
12O
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |