Análisis Guaraní vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
37%
Probabilidad gana
1.27
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.9%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
36.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.25
Goles esperados
0-1
10%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 sep. 2011 |
IND
1 - 1
GUA
35%
29%
36%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
LQE
66%
22%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 sep. 2011 |
CCP
0 - 1
GUA
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
AME
67%
21%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 ago. 2011 |
GEN
2 - 0
GUA
26%
27%
47%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 sep. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 2011 |
AUR
5 - 2
NAC
34%
26%
39%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 sep. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 0
NAC
21%
27%
53%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 sep. 2011 |
RÑU
2 - 3
NAC
32%
27%
41%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 sep. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
IND
66%
22%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |