Análisis Guaraní vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
56.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.81
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.7%
Probabilidad gana
1
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 dic. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 4
GUA
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2014 |
GUA
4 - 2
OLI
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2014 |
GUA
4 - 2
GEN
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 nov. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 4
CCP
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 2014 |
RÑU
1 - 3
GUA
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ene. 2015 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
LQE
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
LIB
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 nov. 2014 |
CCP
1 - 0
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
AME
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |