Análisis Guaraní vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
64.7%
Probabilidad gana
2.16
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.6%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 ago. 2016 |
AME
3 - 0
GUA
45%
23%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 ago. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 2
CCP
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 jul. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 1
GUA
27%
24%
49%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 jul. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
RPA
75%
17%
9%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 jul. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 1
GUA
21%
23%
56%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 ago. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
GEN
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 jul. 2016 |
LIB
3 - 0
NAC
58%
23%
20%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 jul. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
LQE
37%
28%
36%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 jul. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
AME
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 jul. 2016 |
CCP
1 - 1
NAC
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |