Análisis Guarany de Bagé vs Pelotas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.68
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+20%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ene. 2025 |
JUV
1 - 0
GUA
88%
9%
3%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2025 |
BRA
0 - 0
GUA
60%
24%
17%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 ene. 2025 |
GUA
2 - 2
SCI
9%
23%
68%
|
52 | 88 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 4
JUV
11%
22%
67%
|
52 | 81 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2024 |
GRE
4 - 1
GUA
96%
3%
1%
|
52 | 90 | 38 | 0 |
Partidos
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ene. 2025 |
PEL
1 - 0
ECA
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2025 |
PEL
1 - 2
MON
38%
26%
37%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 ene. 2025 |
ECS
1 - 1
PEL
82%
14%
4%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 ago. 2024 |
MON
0 - 0
PEL
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 ago. 2024 |
PEL
0 - 0
MON
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |