Análisis Guarany de Sobral vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
21%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
25.1%
Empate
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
53.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.59
Goles esperados
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 sep. 2002 |
GUA
0 - 1
CRI
16%
23%
62%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2002 |
UNI
0 - 0
GUA
76%
16%
9%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 sep. 2002 |
GUA
0 - 2
FOR
15%
23%
63%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 sep. 2002 |
CEA
2 - 1
GUA
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 2002 |
SAO
3 - 0
GUA
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 sep. 2002 |
CAX
0 - 0
NAU
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2002 |
NAU
0 - 2
AVA
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 sep. 2002 |
NAU
5 - 4
UNI
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2002 |
BOT
1 - 0
NAU
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 2002 |
MOG
1 - 2
NAU
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |