Análisis Guaratinguetá vs Paraná
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
33.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.15
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.3%
Empate
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
39.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.29
Goles esperados
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 sep. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
CRB
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
CRI
33%
27%
40%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 jun. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 2
GUA
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 may. 2012 |
CRB
3 - 1
GUA
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 abr. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
SAO
31%
25%
44%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 sep. 2012 |
AMF
0 - 0
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 0
PAR
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 ago. 2012 |
PAR
4 - 0
CRB
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 jul. 2012 |
PRU
1 - 0
PAR
13%
19%
68%
|
64 | 39 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 jul. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 5
GRE
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | -1 |