Análisis Guareña vs CD Don Benito
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
14.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.69
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
23%
Empate
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
62.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+130%
-16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 ene. 2000 |
GUA
0 - 0
OLI
37%
25%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 1999 |
UCL
2 - 0
GUA
42%
26%
32%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 dic. 1999 |
GUA
1 - 1
BUR
18%
25%
57%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 dic. 1999 |
CER
1 - 1
GUA
78%
15%
8%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 1999 |
GUA
1 - 3
EXT
21%
25%
54%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Don Benito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 ene. 2000 |
PLA
3 - 3
DBN
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 1999 |
DBN
2 - 1
VIL
57%
23%
20%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 dic. 1999 |
CDZ
1 - 1
DBN
29%
27%
44%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 dic. 1999 |
DBN
7 - 2
GRA
85%
11%
4%
|
32 | 12 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 nov. 1999 |
CPC
0 - 1
DBN
16%
23%
62%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |