Análisis Guareña vs UD Fornacense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.84
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.8%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.11
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+55%
+209%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Guareña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 1995 |
JER
10 - 0
GUA
83%
12%
5%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 1995 |
GUA
0 - 1
MOR
9%
20%
72%
|
13 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 1995 |
SAM
3 - 1
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 sep. 1995 |
GUA
0 - 1
COR
43%
24%
34%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 1995 |
SNV
1 - 1
GUA
45%
25%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 1995 |
UDF
1 - 5
VIL
15%
23%
61%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 1995 |
UDF
0 - 5
CPC
10%
22%
69%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 oct. 1995 |
JER
6 - 0
UDF
81%
13%
6%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 sep. 1995 |
UDF
1 - 3
MOR
10%
21%
69%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 sep. 1995 |
SAM
3 - 0
UDF
49%
25%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |