Campeonato Africano de Naciones Primera Ronda Final

Global 5-4

Análisis Guinea Ecuatorial vs Chad

Guinea Ecuatorial Chad
58 ELO 51
-11.1% Tilt 0.7%
2091º Ranking ELO general 5257º
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
51.1%
Guinea Ecuatorial
23.7%
Empate
25.1%
Chad

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
Guinea Ecuatorial
1.73
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.1%
Win probability
Chad
1.14
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Guinea Ecuatorial
-12%
-5%
Chad

Progresión del ELO

Guinea Ecuatorial
Chad
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Guinea Ecuatorial
Guinea Ecuatorial
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 jul. 2019
CHA
Chad
3 - 3
Guinea Ecuatorial
EQG
24%
21%
55%
58 52 6 0
25 mar. 2019
KSA
Arabia Saudí
3 - 2
Guinea Ecuatorial
EQG
77%
17%
7%
58 79 21 0
22 mar. 2019
SDN
Sudán del Sur
1 - 4
Guinea Ecuatorial
EQG
56%
23%
21%
57 63 6 +1
17 nov. 2018
EQG
Guinea Ecuatorial
0 - 1
Senegal
SEN
12%
24%
64%
57 84 27 0
16 oct. 2018
MAD
Madagascar
1 - 0
Guinea Ecuatorial
EQG
49%
24%
27%
57 62 5 0

Partidos

Chad
Chad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 jul. 2019
CHA
Chad
3 - 3
Guinea Ecuatorial
EQG
24%
21%
55%
52 58 6 0
23 mar. 2016
CHA
Chad
0 - 1
Tanzania
TAN
31%
23%
46%
53 57 4 -1
17 nov. 2015
EGY
Egipto
4 - 0
Chad
CHA
94%
5%
1%
53 86 33 0
14 nov. 2015
CHA
Chad
1 - 0
Egipto
EGY
8%
16%
76%
52 86 34 +1
24 oct. 2015
GAB
Gabón
0 - 1
Chad
CHA
77%
15%
7%
51 71 20 +1