Análisis Hard vs Puch
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.03
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.8%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
-28%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 sep. 2001 |
WAT
1 - 2
HAR
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 2001 |
HOH
1 - 2
HAR
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 2001 |
HAR
2 - 0
REI
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 ago. 2001 |
SAL
2 - 3
HAR
53%
23%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 ago. 2001 |
HAR
1 - 0
NEN
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Puch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 sep. 2001 |
PUC
2 - 0
HOH
70%
17%
13%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 sep. 2001 |
REI
2 - 4
PUC
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 ago. 2001 |
PUC
3 - 2
SAL
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 ago. 2001 |
NEN
1 - 3
PUC
36%
27%
38%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 ago. 2001 |
PUC
4 - 1
KUN
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |