Análisis Hard vs Puch
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.36
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
17.1%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
-29%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 sep. 2003 |
SAL
1 - 2
HAR
17%
21%
62%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 2003 |
HAR
0 - 1
VIB
83%
11%
6%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 2003 |
ASK
0 - 2
HAR
20%
21%
60%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 ago. 2003 |
HAR
3 - 2
AXG
73%
16%
11%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 2003 |
HAR
2 - 0
BLA
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
Partidos
Puch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 sep. 2003 |
HAL
1 - 0
PUC
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 2003 |
HOH
2 - 3
PUC
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 ago. 2003 |
PUC
1 - 3
ANI
57%
21%
23%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 ago. 2003 |
RBJ
1 - 1
PUC
61%
21%
19%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 ago. 2003 |
PUC
4 - 2
REI
55%
21%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |