Análisis Heerenveen vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
80%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.7
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.2%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
6.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.68
Goles esperados
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 abr. 2008 |
SPA
4 - 2
SCH
27%
25%
48%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2008 |
WIL
2 - 3
SCH
29%
26%
45%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2008 |
SCH
2 - 4
AJA
32%
23%
45%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 mar. 2008 |
SCH
4 - 3
RJC
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 mar. 2008 |
GRO
0 - 1
SCH
39%
26%
35%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 abr. 2008 |
EXC
1 - 1
AZA
19%
22%
59%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2008 |
TWE
1 - 0
EXC
74%
18%
9%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2008 |
EXC
2 - 1
VVV
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 mar. 2008 |
EXC
0 - 2
UTR
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 mar. 2008 |
NAC
2 - 0
EXC
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |