Análisis Heerenveen vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.19
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.5%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.64
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 dic. 2016 |
GAE
1 - 3
SCH
18%
23%
59%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 2016 |
SCH
0 - 1
AJA
28%
25%
47%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 2016 |
SCH
1 - 1
VIT
57%
22%
22%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 2016 |
SCH
2 - 1
VOL
70%
18%
13%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 2016 |
SPA
3 - 1
SCH
33%
24%
43%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 dic. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 3
AZA
18%
23%
60%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 nov. 2016 |
VIT
2 - 2
EXC
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 2
SPA
27%
26%
48%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 nov. 2016 |
UTR
2 - 1
EXC
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 oct. 2016 |
AJA
1 - 0
EXC
82%
13%
5%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | -1 |