3. Liga Jor. 25

Análisis Heidenheim vs Erzgebirge Aue

Heidenheim Erzgebirge Aue
61 ELO 62
8.9% Tilt 8.4%
467º Ranking ELO general 2645º
20º Ranking ELO país 57º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
47.8%
Heidenheim
24.5%
Empate
27.7%
Erzgebirge Aue

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
Heidenheim
1.64
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.5%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
Erzgebirge Aue
1.19
Goles esperados
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Heidenheim
-1%
-27%
Erzgebirge Aue

Progresión del ELO

Heidenheim
Erzgebirge Aue
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Heidenheim
Heidenheim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 feb. 2010
HEI
Heidenheim
1 - 0
Sandhausen
SVS
44%
24%
32%
60 62 2 0
30 ene. 2010
WEH
Wehen Wiesbaden
1 - 2
Heidenheim
HEI
46%
25%
29%
59 59 0 +1
19 dic. 2009
HEI
Heidenheim
2 - 1
Stuttgart II
STU
53%
23%
23%
59 58 1 0
12 dic. 2009
WUP
Wuppertaler SV
1 - 2
Heidenheim
HEI
45%
25%
30%
58 57 1 +1
05 dic. 2009
HEI
Heidenheim
3 - 2
Jahn Regensburg
SSV
46%
25%
29%
57 60 3 +1

Partidos

Erzgebirge Aue
Erzgebirge Aue
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 feb. 2010
CZJ
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
1 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
37%
26%
38%
63 57 6 0
19 dic. 2009
ING
Ingolstadt 04
5 - 1
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
49%
25%
27%
63 63 0 0
12 dic. 2009
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
4 - 2
Kickers Offenbach
OFC
40%
28%
33%
62 64 2 +1
05 dic. 2009
ERZ
Erzgebirge Aue
2 - 1
Werder Bremen II
WER
47%
27%
26%
62 59 3 0
28 nov. 2009
EBT
Eintracht Braunschweig
3 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
45%
25%
30%
63 60 3 -1