Fase Previa Europa League 3ra Ronda Final
Global 1-1
Análisis Heracles vs Arouca
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.77
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
22%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.03
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 jul. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
CCF
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 jul. 2016 |
HER
2 - 0
SPO
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 jul. 2016 |
PRE
3 - 1
HER
19%
22%
60%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 may. 2016 |
UTR
0 - 2
HER
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 may. 2016 |
HER
1 - 1
UTR
40%
24%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 jul. 2016 |
ARO
2 - 0
TON
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 jul. 2016 |
ARO
4 - 1
SAN
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 jul. 2016 |
FAM
0 - 2
ARO
31%
25%
44%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 may. 2016 |
ARO
2 - 2
VIT
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2016 |
EST
1 - 1
ARO
62%
23%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |