Análisis Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
15%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
20%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
65%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.08
Goles esperados
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-17%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 mar. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 1
HER
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2007 |
HER
3 - 1
ADO
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 2007 |
SPA
0 - 0
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 feb. 2007 |
HER
0 - 2
PSV
18%
24%
59%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 feb. 2007 |
RKC
2 - 0
HER
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 mar. 2007 |
AZA
2 - 0
NEW
50%
24%
26%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2007 |
AZA
0 - 0
FEY
47%
23%
30%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2007 |
NEW
4 - 2
AZA
46%
25%
29%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 mar. 2007 |
UTR
0 - 4
AZA
21%
24%
55%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 2007 |
UTR
1 - 2
AZA
23%
24%
53%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | +1 |