Análisis Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
27.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.14
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
47.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.59
Goles esperados
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 2011 |
HER
4 - 0
BER
83%
12%
5%
|
76 | 38 | 38 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 2
HER
27%
25%
49%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 2011 |
HER
2 - 1
GRO
39%
24%
37%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 sep. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
GRA
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 1
HER
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 oct. 2011 |
FCD
2 - 3
AZA
18%
23%
59%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 2011 |
AZA
1 - 0
RJC
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 2011 |
AZA
2 - 2
AUS
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 2011 |
AJA
2 - 2
AZA
60%
21%
18%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2011 |
VVV
1 - 3
AZA
13%
22%
65%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |