Análisis Heracles vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.94
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.8%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.08
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 1998 |
FCE
3 - 0
HER
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 may. 1998 |
HER
4 - 2
GAE
33%
25%
41%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +2 |
| 25 abr. 1998 |
RBC
2 - 2
HER
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 1998 |
HER
0 - 1
AZA
28%
25%
47%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 abr. 1998 |
HFC
3 - 2
HER
49%
24%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 1998 |
FCD
3 - 1
EXC
55%
23%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 may. 1998 |
EXC
1 - 2
TEL
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 abr. 1998 |
EXC
2 - 0
EIN
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 abr. 1998 |
EXC
1 - 1
VVV
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 abr. 1998 |
BOS
3 - 0
EXC
72%
17%
10%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |