Análisis Heracles vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
52.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.68
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.2%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.02
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 2007 |
HER
4 - 1
FEY
15%
20%
65%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2007 |
TWE
1 - 1
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2007 |
AJA
3 - 0
HER
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2007 |
HER
0 - 0
AZA
15%
20%
65%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 1
HER
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 abr. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 3
RKC
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2007 |
RJC
2 - 0
EXC
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 abr. 2007 |
EXC
3 - 1
ADO
59%
21%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 mar. 2007 |
NEC
0 - 1
EXC
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 0
PSV
21%
24%
55%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | +1 |